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Like it isn't bloody cold enough already....

Discussion in 'Free Fire Zone' started by GRW, Nov 25, 2010.

  1. lwd

    lwd Ace

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    Well I'll be flying into El Paso from Michigan Monday. Temps here have been below freezing and planes are rather difficult to predict temperature wise so I'll pass on the "thongs and tongs" until I get there. Probably afterwards as well. Don't want anyone hospitalized due to the trauma of seeing me like that. :)
     
  2. Erich

    Erich Alte Hase

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    I have snow below 2000 ft which means it is sitting this morn just on the ridge lines surrounding my berg, winter is not over in the great NW.
     
  3. Biak

    Biak Boy from Illinois Staff Member

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    Okay! Enough is Enough!! Just looked out the window and we are now in the middle of a Blizzard. Winds have been blowing at 20 to 30 mph with partly cloudy skies most of the day, until a few minutes ago, when visibility dropped to 30 yards. An inch of new snow on the ground when I got up this morning. All this after our Daughter sent us a picture of their outdoor thermometer in Central Illinois with 83 degrees showing Sunday.
    We're heading South!
     
  4. Biak

    Biak Boy from Illinois Staff Member

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    I'll bump this and remark we did enjoy warmer weather last month. In Illinois!
    It was 84F/29C here yesterday and I think that was our summer. Today high of 52F/11C degrees.
    Anyone see Mr Gore? I'd like to kick his arse!!
     
  5. LRusso216

    LRusso216 Graybeard Staff Member

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    According to the national news tonight, over 200 million people in the US are in the midst of a severe heat wave. Check this map of today's highs

    [​IMG]
     
  6. Biak

    Biak Boy from Illinois Staff Member

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    Thanks Lou! Feel much better. :) See that 54 top center? 50 now. Wore a sweatshirt with a lined flannel shirt over that and a darn stocking cap today working outside. It's in the upper 70's just 120 miles south of here.
     
  7. RabidAlien

    RabidAlien Ace

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    Soooo...I guess we're back to calling it "global warming" again?
     
  8. LRusso216

    LRusso216 Graybeard Staff Member

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    97 here today (near Philadelphia). I was in my pool with my granddaughter and wife by 11:30 AM, stayed in until after 1. Back in with my wife from 3:30 to 5:30. To the beach tomorrow for the weekend.
     
  9. LRusso216

    LRusso216 Graybeard Staff Member

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    Actually, I think it's more "climate change". My understanding is that the atmosphere is heating up, creating more severe variations. Colder winters with more snow, more storms and tornadoes, longer droughts, etc. It's not limited to just increasing temperatures, although that is part of it. Clint (brndirt1) has much more data and details on the phenomenon.
     
  10. Biak

    Biak Boy from Illinois Staff Member

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    This site may be interesting: http://www.esd.ornl.gov/projects/qen/nerc130k.html

    Warming, then a cold snap. Around 14,000 years ago (about 13,000 radiocarbon years ago), there was a rapid global warming and moistening of climates, perhaps occurring within the space of only a few years or decades. In many respects, this phase seems to have resembled some of the earlier interstadials that had occurred so many times before during the glacial period. Conditions in many mid-latitude areas appear to have been about as warm as they are today, although many other areas - whilst warmer than during the Late Glacial Cold Stage - seem to have remained slightly cooler than at present.
    and:
    The start of the present warm phase, the Holocene. Following the sudden ending of the Younger Dryas, about 11,500 years ago (or 10,000 14C years ago), forests quickly regained the ground that they had lost to cold and aridity. Ice sheets again began melting, though because of their size they took about two thousand more years to disappear completely. The Earth entered several thousand years of conditions warmer and moister than today; the Saharan and Arabian deserts almost completely disappeared under a vegetation cover, and in the northern latitudes forests grew slightly closer to the poles than they do at present. This phase, known as the 'Holocene optimum' occurred between about 9,000 and 5,000 years ago (8,000-4,000 14C years ago), though the timing of the warmest and moistest conditions probably varied somewhat between different regions.
     
  11. brndirt1

    brndirt1 Saddle Tramp

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  12. Gebirgsjaeger

    Gebirgsjaeger Ace

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    Global warming, paahh!! This is a pic like we had our weather at Monday the 6th this week.
    View attachment 13391
     

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  13. Erich

    Erich Alte Hase

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    you will be all happy to know we are 10-15F cooler than normal for the time of year. global warming huh ? cyclic yes

    dang the mountains are gorgeous and the roads still closed due to heavy snows, no cycling up high above 5,000' yet ................ rats
     
  14. brndirt1

    brndirt1 Saddle Tramp

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    I must (apparently) point out that the term "global warming" refers to the globe itself not just out your back door, which is, like it or not mostly oceans. Saying it is cooler in your place, at that moment and so the warming trend is a "hoax" is like looking in your own wallet and determining what the global economy is doing at that moment.

    The oceans are warming (observed/recorded), they are rising (observed/recorded), the polar ice caps are changing in both density and area (observed/recorded). Just because it is "cooler" where you are doesn't mean squat. The weather patterns are obviously shifting, it might get be cooler and wetter in places it never was, it might get hotter and dryer in places than before, why is this so hard to understand?

    Weather is what you get today, climate is what you should expect over a decade or two. These expectations have quite measurably changed. The northwest portions of America and southwest Canada might very well get both cooler and wetter, while the mid-west and southwest sections of America might get hotter and dryer. Which they have, if those areas continue on those patterns for even more time, and remain there; then a "climate change" has developed.

    When recorded temperature variations start to always break old records (up and down), moisture fall is altered to record diferences (up and down) something is "afoot", and it ain't a hoax and won't stop 'cause we wish it would. Mother Nature can't be lobbied by the Koch brothers. Humans have kept "pissing in the nest", and now it is time to pay the piper.
     
  15. Erich

    Erich Alte Hase

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    and it is till cyclic if we go back to recorded records back in the 20's and 30's worldwide. Mother nature does not exist except by name only .............
     
  16. lwd

    lwd Ace

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    Part of the problem is as I understand it from the late 1800's up through the 1970's the climate was extremely stable by long term historical standards. Yet this is the time over which we have the best data. Starting sometime in the mid to late 70's from what I can tell we started getting a lot more variation in weather (records of all sorts being set on a more frequent basis for example at least from what I can tell) on top of this we now have a warming trend. I don't think many fail to believe that said trend is real however why and for how long are rather open topics. In the mean time tweaking those who claim to know based on Al Gore's film with random observations can be fun.
     
  17. Biak

    Biak Boy from Illinois Staff Member

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    Well here we go again! Beginning to see the familiar gray skies of Winter. Highs in the upper 40's and low's in the lower 30's for the next week. For those poor folks who have to work outside around here the "Long-John's" are coming off the shelves. Most of the leaves have fallen, with a few stragglers clinging for Dear life even though their cycle is done. Our Avian friends are gathering and starting their long trek South to warmer climes while the Fall hunting Season is well under way. It appears it is time to get the final outside winterizing chores completed and settle in for a long Winter.
     
  18. Biak

    Biak Boy from Illinois Staff Member

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    First snow "Drizzard" this morning.
    Drizzard = Drizzle + Blizzard. Basically, horizontally blowing - cold - hard sprinkles.
     
  19. Poppy

    Poppy grasshopper

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  20. brndirt1

    brndirt1 Saddle Tramp

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    I wonder how the famous (or infamous) Koch Brothers feel about this study they helped fund at Berkeley, I'm sure they expected different results but they didn't count on an honest man.

    A team of UC Berkeley physicists and statisticians that set out to challenge the scientific consensus on global warming is finding that its data-crunching effort is producing results nearly identical to those underlying the prevailing view.

    The Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature project was launched by physics professor Richard Muller, a longtime critic of government-led climate studies, to address what he called "the legitimate concerns" of skeptics who believe that global warming is exaggerated. (underline mine)

    …But Muller unexpectedly told a congressional hearing last week that the work of the three principal groups that have analyzed the temperature trends underlying climate science is "excellent.... We see a global warming trend that is very similar to that previously reported by the other groups."

    …Over the years, Muller has praised Watts' efforts to show that weather station data in official studies are untrustworthy because of the urban heat island effect, which boosts temperature readings in areas that have been encroached on by cities and suburbs.

    But leading climatologists said the previous studies accounted for the effect, and the Berkeley analysis is confirming that, Muller acknowledged. "Did such poor station quality exaggerate the estimates of global warming?" he asked in his written testimony. "We've studied this issue, and our preliminary answer is no." ​(bold mine)

    Temperature data are gathered from tens of thousands of weather stations around the globe, many of which have incomplete records. Over the last two decades, three independent groups have used different combinations of stations and varying statistical methods and yet arrived at nearly identical conclusions: The planet's surface, on average, has warmed about 0.75 degrees centigrade (1.4 degrees Fahrenheit) since the beginning of the 20th century.


    Goto:


    Global warming: Critics' review unexpectedly supports scientific consensus on climate change - Los Angeles Times
     

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